Exodus Movement Stock Performance

EXOD Stock  USD 9.42  1.28  11.96%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.6, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Exodus Movement will likely underperform. At this point, Exodus Movement has a negative expected return of -1.0%. Please make sure to confirm Exodus Movement's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Exodus Movement performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Exodus Movement has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow11.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities43.9 M

Exodus Movement Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,186  in Exodus Movement on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,130) from holding Exodus Movement or give up 51.69% of portfolio value over 90 days. Exodus Movement is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.1939% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 55% of stocks are less volatile than Exodus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Exodus Movement is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Exodus Movement Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Exodus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.42 90 days 9.42 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exodus Movement to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Exodus Movement probability density function shows the probability of Exodus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Exodus Movement will likely underperform. Additionally Exodus Movement has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Exodus Movement Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Exodus Movement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exodus Movement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.499.4915.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.049.0415.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.286.2912.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5815.0918.60
Details

Exodus Movement Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exodus Movement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exodus Movement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exodus Movement, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exodus Movement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.60
σ
Overall volatility
2.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Exodus Movement Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exodus Movement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exodus Movement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exodus Movement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exodus Movement has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Exodus Movement currently holds about 49.74 M in cash with (12.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.97.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Exodus Movement Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exodus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exodus Movement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exodus Movement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.4 M

Exodus Movement Fundamentals Growth

Exodus Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Exodus Movement, and Exodus Movement fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Exodus Stock performance.

About Exodus Movement Performance

By analyzing Exodus Movement's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Exodus Movement's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Exodus Movement has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Exodus Movement has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Exodus Movement, Inc. operates as a non-custodial cryptocurrency software platform company in the United States. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Omaha, Nebraska. Exodus Movement operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 290 people.

Things to note about Exodus Movement performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Exodus Movement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Exodus Movement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exodus Movement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exodus Movement has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Exodus Movement currently holds about 49.74 M in cash with (12.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.97.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Exodus Movement's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Exodus Movement's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Exodus Movement's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Exodus Movement's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Exodus Movement's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Exodus Movement's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Exodus Movement's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Exodus Movement's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Exodus Movement's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Exodus Movement's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Exodus Movement's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Exodus Stock analysis

When running Exodus Movement's price analysis, check to measure Exodus Movement's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exodus Movement is operating at the current time. Most of Exodus Movement's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exodus Movement's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exodus Movement's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exodus Movement to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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